After the first series of Democratic Primary debates on NBC, MSNBC, and Telemundo, voters are beginning to assess the field of candidates, which suggests a very fluid race with only one in 10 Democratic primary voters saying their mind is made up.
At the opposite end of the spectrum, attitudes toward Donald Trump remain frozen. Trump’s job rating (a predictor of vote share) is below 50%, and he scores well below 50% against four potential Democratic candidates. In 2016, Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton, with 45.9%, and his share of the vote against the four Democrats measured in this poll is below that. A lot will change between now and November 3, 2020, but the data here show that Donald Trump has work to do.
On the Democratic side, there is more desire for larger-scale policy change than for smaller-scale adjustments, but the smaller-scale lane is less crowded at the moment, which explains why Joe Biden holds a modest lead overall at this early stage. Americans are divided on support for a single-payer healthcare plan, though they are somewhat more likely to oppose rather than favor it. And whatever momentum there was for Congress beginning impeachment hearings now has dissipated for the moment.
Click HERE for the full results from the poll.